Posted by: mrpeatie | April 9, 2009

Another Round of Useless Hurricane Predictions

Each year Colorado State University’s hurricane team aims to predict the number of tropical storms that will form in the Atlantic. In December 2008, the team predicted 14 storms for the upcoming season. They have since revised that forecast and now believe only 12 storms will form with 2 likely forming to major hurricane status. The revision was made because sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic have cooled in recent months.

I’m willing to bet there will be another round of revised predictions before the hurricane season starts on June 1, a few more predictions once the season is underway, just like they did last year, and what the heck, one final prediction once the season is over.

I’ve made my views on these predictions and revised forecasts on this blog before. It seems I’m not the only one who is skeptical on the necessity and accuracy of these long range forecast. Here is the image The Weather Channel put up on their broadcast the other day before showing the revised predictions:

Doesn't inspire a lot of confidence

Doesn't inspire a lot of confidence

If you are on Twitter and dig weather, be sure to follow The Weather Channel!


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